Looking for the best Premier League tips today? Our team of professional analysts has reviewed every fixture on today’s card and identified the strongest value bet across the Premier League this matchday.
Today’s Premier League Tip: Arsenal vs Chelsea
Our Pick: Arsenal to Win | Odds: 1.90 | Confidence: High
Match Analysis
Arsenal — Current Form
Arsenal arrive into this fixture in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 Premier League matches. At the Emirates, they have lost just once in 11 home league games this season. Their xG numbers at home rank second in the division.
Chelsea — Current Form
Chelsea have shown improvement in recent weeks but remain inconsistent on the road. In their last 6 away Premier League games, they have won just 2 and kept only 1 clean sheet. Their xGA on the road is the 8th worst in the top half of the table.
Key Stats
- Arsenal average 2.1 xG per home Premier League game this season
- Chelsea average 1.3 xGA per away game
- Arsenal have won their last 4 home games to nil
- In the last 8 head-to-heads, Arsenal have won 5 times
Why We’re Backing Arsenal
At 1.90, the implied probability is around 52.6%, but we estimate the true probability of an Arsenal home win at approximately 60-62% based on our model. That represents solid value.
Responsible Gambling
All tips are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org.